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特朗普暗示要让美联储为任何可能的经济疲软“背锅”,其对鲍威尔的猛烈抨击已经使美联储中立性、技术性的机构形象受损。市场担忧,未来特朗普甚至可能不顾口头谴责和法律约束,直接解雇鲍威尔,那么周一的“股债汇”三杀很可能只是个开始。

特朗普炮轰鲍威尔,意在为潜在的经济衰退找替罪羊。

继上周四和周五炮轰鲍威尔后,特朗普本周一再喷鲍威尔,敦促其立即降息,不然经济要放缓,美国资产周一再现“黑色星期一”,上演“股债汇”三杀。

换句话说,如果美联储一直不降息,特朗普很可能会把贸易战导致的任何经济疲软归咎于美联储。

更具争议的是,他指责美联储在去年秋季降息是为了影响2024年大选。认为当时降息是为了帮助“瞌睡乔”拜登。分析称,特朗普的言外之意是,美联储这个机构已经被政治化,愿意帮助拜登政府,却不愿为他提供同样的支持。

而这番言论也强化了特朗普一直以来的观点:美联储应该更加响应总统的意愿。未来他很可能试图削弱美联储作为独立机构的合法性,从而损害其政策的有效性。

即使不解雇鲍威尔,美联储公信力也难免被损

有分析人士指出,即使特朗普最终不罢免鲍威尔,他对鲍威尔的猛烈抨击仍会带来长期伤害,破坏美联储长期以来力求保持的非政治性和技术官僚的形象。

宾夕法尼亚大学的美联储历史学家PeterConti-Brown称:

风险提示及免责条款

市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。

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