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  来源:财联社

  股票研究公司MoffettNathanson认为,短期内苹果股价的跌势不会迎来任何缓解,尽管年内已经累跌超23%,但“离脱离困境还有很长的路要走”。

  当地时间周一(4月21日),分析师CraigMoffett重申了对苹果的“卖出”评级,并将其目标价从184美元大幅下调至141美元。根据FactSet的数据,华尔街分析师对苹果的平均目标价为241美元。

  鉴于苹果上周四收于196.98美元,这意味Moffett认为该股还有超过28%的下行空间。Moffett还下调了苹果的长期盈利预期,原因是美国总统特朗普征收的关税以及贸易战的持续升温。

  不过,Moffett略微上调了苹果2025财年的短期每股收益预期,从7.18美元提高到7.20美元,但这仅是基于消费者“抢跑”以避开关税影响的预期,他指出这种效应不会持续。

  与之相比,华尔街预期苹果2025财年每股收益为7.26美元(该财年截止至9月)。至于2026财年,Moffett现在预计全年每股收益仅为7.06美元,低于此前预测的7.87美元,也远低于市场8.00美元的平均预期。

  Moffett解释道,虽然对苹果最坏的情况在4月11日美国政府暂停对智能手机加征对等关税后暂时被排除了,但苹果之后还需面临的关税水平在一个月前还是难以想象的。

  自Moffett1月份下调苹果评级至“卖出”以来,苹果股票的远期市盈率已从32倍下降至约27倍。截至发稿,苹果跌超3%,本月累跌逾14%,年内跌幅扩大至23%。

  Moffett指出,考虑到市场对苹果的盈利预期“几乎没有下调”。因此,这些预期尚未充分反映苹果当前面临的诸多问题,未来市盈率可能还会继续下滑。

  “目前,没有简单的解决方案,”Moffett解释道,苹果位于贸易战中心的夹击之中,不论是为高额关税买单,还是为重构供应链支付巨额成本,最终都会导致成本大幅上升,是一个双输的选择题。

  但关税并非苹果面临的唯一阻力,Moffett指出,在人工智能商业化方面,苹果已经落后于同行,未能激发其王牌产品iPhone强劲的换机潮。

  Moffett还提到,谷歌母公司Alphabet正在面对的反垄断案也可能给苹果带来额外风险,“苹果从谷歌收取的搜索引擎分成,占其运营利润的四分之一以上。”

  (财联社赵昊)

  周一,特斯拉发布第一季度财报的前一天,其股价下跌了近6%,原因是分析师担心“品牌正在受到侵蚀”。

  该股收于227.50美元,比4月8日的年内低点高出不到6美元。今年3月,该公司股价经历了自2022年以来最糟糕的一个季度,今年以来下跌了44%。这是该股今年第12次在一个交易日内下跌至少5%。

  特斯拉首席执行官马斯克在特斯拉之外的许多事情,尤其是他在特朗普政府中的角色,以及该公司在拖延已久的机器人出租车和现有汽车的自动驾驶技术方面的进展,都是人们关注的焦点。

  在财报电话会议之前,特斯拉用来征求投资者咨询的在线论坛上,提交了300多个与特斯拉自动驾驶系统有关的问题,大约200个是关于该公司正在开发的Optimus人形机器人的问题,还有160多个关于马斯克个人的问题。一位投资者问道:“董事会采取了哪些措施来减轻埃隆政治活动对品牌造成的损害?”

  在花费2.9亿美元帮助特朗普重返白宫之后,马斯克现在正在领导一项倡议,削减数万个联邦工作岗位,出售或终止联邦办公大楼的租约,并削减美国政府的能力。

  马斯克的政治和滑稽行为在欧洲和美国部分地区引发了强烈反弹。今年,特斯拉遭遇了一波又一波的抗议、抵制和一些针对特斯拉汽车和设施的犯罪活动,作为对马斯克的回应。

  本月早些时候,特斯拉报告第一季度交付了336681辆汽车,比去年同期下降了13%。

  据LSEG称,该公司预计第一季度营收为211.4亿美元,较去年同期略有下降。分析师预计每股收益为40美分。投资者将特别密切关注有关特朗普广泛征收关税的任何评论,以及随着时间的推移对收入和利润的潜在影响。

  奥本海默(Oppenheimer)的分析师周一在一份报告中写道,特斯拉在美国和欧洲“持续的品牌侵蚀”已经对销量造成了压力,但“对该公司来说,更大的问题是需求的潜在疲软,以及特朗普关税对利润率的影响。”

  Caliber是一家追踪美国消费者对主要品牌的看法如何变化的研究公司,该公司3月份的调查发现,只有27%的受访者会考虑购买特斯拉,而2022年1月这一比例为46%。

  WedbushSecurities分析师丹·艾夫斯长期看好特斯拉,他希望马斯克在周二的财报电话会议上能带来“扭转局面的愿景”。

  “不幸的是,特斯拉现在已经成为特朗普政府/政府总监在全球的政治象征,”他写道,并指出“自特朗普重返白宫以来,特斯拉的股价一直受到重创。”

  艾夫斯估计,由于马斯克为特朗普工作造成的品牌损害,“未来特斯拉买家的永久需求将受到15%至20%的破坏”。

  上周晚些时候,巴克莱维持了相当于卖出的评级,并将特斯拉的目标价从325美元下调至275美元,理由是第一季度的“结构令人困惑”,而且“基本面疲弱”。该公司表示,如果马斯克更专注于他的汽车制造商,并取决于该公司披露的预期中的“FSD活动”,即特斯拉的全自动驾驶产品,它可能会看到积极的反应。

  特斯拉在公布财报日期时表示,除了收益之外,它还将提供“实时公司更新”,这是该公司通常不会在披露中使用的语言。

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