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来源:@21世纪商业评论微博

来源:视觉中国

记者丨李惠琳 编辑丨鄢子为

关税博弈期,一些跨境商家迎来“小旺季”。

刘强在速卖通上卖电脑配件,加征关税后,其客户担心采购成本变高,提前囤货。

“交易金额和订单数量,均有增长,我们也会引导美国客户抓住机会,购买需要的产品。”刘强也不清楚,窗口期多长。“一旦政策落地,生意会受影响。”

美国对华实施税率,已到145%,只有个别品类豁免。对刘强来说,还有一个“靴子”待定——“小额免税”政策将取消。

据新华社,到了5月2日,中国出口至美国的800美元以下商品,将被征收关税。

大棒迎头砸下,刘强这样成千上万的卖家,寻找应对之策。

情势大变

这几日,跨境电商店家,心情坐上过山车。

“我的第一反应,是出货成本上升,利润变薄。”一位速卖通商家林锦告诉《21CBR》记者。

美国是中国跨境电商的最大出口地,大量服饰鞋包、手机电子、家纺家居漂洋过海,进入当地消费者手中。

杭州企业速卖通,是跨界电商界的核心玩家,进入美国市场10多年。电商数据平台ECDB称,2024年,其在美国电商市场的份额,位列第七。

刘强等中小商家,是速卖通的主力军。

过去,他们踩中免税政策,以低价优势在美市场份额不断扩大;如今,情势大变。

多位商家向《21CBR》记者提到,最直接的影响,是物流上涨,报关流程将变复杂,清关时效延长,物流公司会加收报关手续费。

有国际货代公司告诉《21CBR》记者,自4月9日起,国内至美国的物流价格,每公斤普遍上涨1.5至2元人民币。

货量大,成本就高,挤压中小商家的利润空间。

刘强表示淡定,“我们利润超30%,暂时不用提价。”他也坦言,如果清关时间延长,库存周转压力大,就可能带来投诉、差评,甚至买家拒付关税导致退货。

更多商家,担心订单萎缩。

速卖通至美国的包裹关税,一般由买方承担。如果美国收取高额关税,消费者买同样的东西,就要多付钱。这削弱其商品的价格优势,降低竞争力。

林锦所在公司,主要卖家居产品,利润率不高。他认为,若购买成本提高,消费者就可能减少购买,或者转向其他平台,使美国市场整体需求萎缩。

刘强庆幸,美国市场只占其业务量的十分之一,若做不下去,损失也有限。

苦乐不均

生意变数增多,倒逼商家寻找出路。

林锦对部分产品停止优惠或提价,并考虑清理低利润、高关税风险的产品线,精简产品,同时拓展欧洲市场。刘强也称,会将重点放在巴西、欧洲、东南亚市场。

备货至海外仓也是商家们的共识。

他们将批量商品通过海运至美国海外仓后,再本地发货,可以节省部分运费,提升履约时效,保住市场。

海外仓有租赁、运营成本,能布局的多是有实力的商家,订单不稳定的中小商家投入谨慎。

一位业内人士告诉《21CBR》记者,关税风暴,重创的是低货值卖家,对做高货值商品的品牌卖家来说,甚至有机会。

“资源丰富的头部卖家,可能整合供应链优势,扩大市场份额。”他说。

一位跨境电商卖家,也持有同样观点,“很多利润不大、规模小的卖家,已经打算清完货就不卖了。做这行的应该会变少,竞争变小。”

不同于Temu、Shein重押北美,速卖通的美国业务,在总盘子中占比不大,关税风波影响相对有限。

但政策变化,依然打扰其节奏。2024年初,速卖通属地商家运营负责人提到,将重点布局美国。

对于这场危机,该平台早有准备。

近年,速卖通已从单纯的“低价出口”,转向“品牌化”的高附加值策略。其在3月刚宣布,将加大百亿补贴力度,助力1000个新品牌销售额破百万美元。

去年,速卖通开放美国本土自运营商家入驻,招募具有本地公司资质,且需备货在本地的商家。开放入驻一周内,商家的咨询量增长三倍,不乏TikTok的头部卖家。

此外,速卖通重点发力半托管服务,引导卖家备货到海外仓,平台负责履约发货,商家自主运营。

作为全球最大的电商市场,美国是速卖通不能丢的要塞,但能做的也有限。

拓新固存

西方不亮,东方亮。

关税博弈背景下,速卖通带领卖家挖掘美国以外的市场,重点放在巴西、俄罗斯、西班牙、法国等国家。

其高调进击,一边拓展新战场,一边巩固优势阵地。

去年,速卖通砸钱尤为凶猛。不仅赞助欧洲杯,还一口气签约了5位代言人,包括足球明星贝克汉姆、演员汤唯等。

比如,平台去年签约下汤唯成为代言人,拓展韩国市场,引入各种低价促销玩法,战果不菲。

根据韩国调研机构数据,2024年韩国消费者在中国跨境电商平台上的支付总额达4.2万亿韩元,速卖通一家就占了85%。

今年3月,速卖通的韩国卖家总交易额(GMV),环比增长152%,月活跃用户达到887万,成为韩国第二大电商平台。

英国市场,也在快速上量。

2024年黑五期间,速卖通的流量,同比激增一倍多,登顶英国消费者的首选购物平台。

今年4月,速卖通与德国物流巨头Hermes展开合作洽谈,以进一步深耕欧洲市场。

服务上,速卖通也在下功夫。

去年,其将“全球5日达”国际快递产品,扩展至14个国家,并对商家上线“税费代缴物流服务”,覆盖土耳其、巴西、韩国、墨西哥等国家,以降低卡关风险,提升清关时效。

此外,依托全托管、半托管模式,平台力推Choice服务,主打高性价比商品和免运费、免费退货服务,吸引了大量买家。去年,Choice订单已经占到速卖通订单的70%。

2025财年前三季度(2024年4月至12月),阿里国际零售板块收入达到808亿元,同比增长超30%,速卖通功不可没。

关税冲击,是压力也是动力。对抗风险的同时,速卖通及其商家,尽力把路走得更宽。

(文中林锦、刘强为化名)

图片来源:速卖通,除标注外

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