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动漫二人世界拔萝卜怎么画:在不同文化语境下的诠释
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  汇通财经APP讯——Mizuho金融集团全球市场联合主管越水健也(KenyaKoshimizu)表示,去年日本央行缩减国债购买的速度过于温和,主要是担心加息与缩债叠加会导致债券收益率剧烈波动。

  如今加息暂停的可能性增强,“日本央行有更多空间调整节奏,缩债步伐无需再如此保守。”

  他还强调:“我们应专注于恢复日本债市的正常功能,特别是在全球市场因美国政策转向而大幅动荡的背景下。”

  日本央行债市主导地位正在松动,私营银行作用增强

  当前,日本央行持有日本国债总量约为一半,导致市场流动性及价格发现功能受限。市场参与者预计,日本央行将于6月对现有缩债计划进行回顾评估,而Mizuho等主要私营机构的声音将成为该评估的重要依据。

  根据现行计划,日本央行每季度减少4000亿日元的债券购买额度,目标是在2026年3月前将每月购债规模缩减至3万亿日元。

  全球不确定性放缓日本加息路径,助力灵活政策操作

  Koshimizu指出,“由于美国总统特朗普提出的关税政策扰动市场,加之对全球经济衰退的担忧,日本央行是否能够继续加息尚不明朗。”他认为,这种不确定性正好为日本央行提供了更多的操作空间,可以根据市场反应灵活调整政策节奏。

  一位市场分析师表示:“全球央行正进入新的政策周期,日本央行要实现软着陆,必须借此机会重新平衡其在债市的角色。”

  私营银行购债意愿依赖市场环境,或转向美债配置

  对于Mizuho自身是否会全面回归日本国债市场,Koshimizu并未正面表态,仅表示“取决于具体环境”。不过他指出,在当前不确定性环境下,高度流动性的产品吸引力提升,未来可能增持美国国债。

  此外,他对日本长期前景持乐观态度,认为“随着日本经济摆脱通缩,企业正逐步从成本削减转向增长战略。”

  Koshimizu总结道:“恢复市场价格发现机制才是长远之计,特别是在货币政策转型期,我们不能再依赖央行主导市场。”

  编辑观点:

  日本央行当前政策正处于战略转型关键期,一方面要应对美国政策变化引发的全球市场不稳,另一方面又需逐步退出超宽松模式。Mizuho的表态不仅反映出市场对央行恢复“中立者”角色的期待,也突显出债市参与者对市场机制修复的迫切。

  未来若缩债节奏适当加快,且收益率保持稳定,有望吸引更多私营机构重返国债市场,从而缓解央行主导结构对市场功能的长期压制。

  近日,溜溜果园集团股份有限公司正式向港交所递交招股书,拟冲击港股上市。这一消息在零食行业引发广泛关注,作为中国果类零食的领军企业及梅产品领导者,溜溜果园的上市之路备受瞩目。然而,透过招股书,其发展背后的风险与挑战也浮出水面。

  财务业绩:增长背后的隐忧

  从财务数据来看,溜溜果园近年来营收呈现增长态势。2022年至2024年,公司总收入分别为11.74亿元、13.22亿元及16.16亿元,净利润分别为6840万元、9920万元及1.48亿元。然而,深入分析发现,其增长背后存在诸多隐忧。

  毛利增速明显低于营收增速,2024年尤为突出。以梅干零食为例,2022—2024年毛利分别为3.21亿、3.16亿和3.12亿元,毛利率分别为39.6%、37.7%和32.1%,两年时间毛利率下滑近两成。西梅产品毛利率走势也类似,报告期三年分别为36.7%、35.1%和32.4%。这导致公司整体毛利率由2023年的40.1%下降到2024年的36%。究其原因,主力产品“梅干零食”和“西梅产品”毛利率持续下滑,公司不得不靠收缩研发费用等维持净利润“高增”。2024年溜溜果园研发费用从前一年的3367万元骤降至1895万元,下滑约40%,而截至2024年末,公司仅有研发人员26名。

  营运情况:渠道之困与产品质量危机

  在营运方面,溜溜果园面临渠道依赖与产品质量双重挑战。A股上市时,公司采取“经销+直营”相结合的销售模式,经销模式曾是公司最重要的销售渠道。但此次招股书显示,2022—2024年,溜溜果园向经销商销售的产品分别占收入的74.5%、66.7%及40.8%,持续下滑,尤其是2024年加速下滑。在经销商数量基本不变的情况下,经销模式收入和占比却大幅跳水,公司坦承可能无法维持与现有经销商的关系,亦无法以可接受的成本及时聘请新的经销商。

  同时,产品质量问题频发。仅从第三方平台黑猫投诉【下载黑猫投诉客户端】来看,截至2025年4月19日,输入“溜溜梅”作为关键词,投诉就有421条,涉及吃出异物、产品变质等问题。此外,代工厂生产也存在隐患,2024年某代工厂被曝使用过期防腐剂,品牌信任度遭重创。

  资金及现金流状况:偿债压力与造血能力不足

  资金及现金流方面,溜溜果园面临偿债压力与造血能力不足的双重困境。2024年末公司现金储备7805万元,短期借款3.12亿元,流动比率低至0.89,偿债能力亮红灯。公司经营活动所得现金流量净额也出现明显下降,2022—2024年分别录得2.02亿元、1.27亿元、0.84亿元。此次IPO,公司计划将30%募资用于“补充运营资金”,暴露出其造血能力不足的问题。

  行业竞争:巨头环伺下的突围难题

  从行业整体发展来看,消费升级与健康意识觉醒推动中国休闲零食产业经历结构性变革。2023年健康零食市场规模突破1.2万亿元,2018—2023年复合年均增长率4.4%,其中健康零食是增长最快的新兴品类。然而,溜溜果园的产品结构相对单一,青梅等梅类产品合计收入在主营业务收入中的占比较高,单一的产品结构可能会给公司带来一定的经营风险。

  溜溜果园赴港上市,既面临着行业发展的机遇,也承受着诸多风险与挑战。未来,公司能否在健康化、国际化、数字化的三维战场中实现突围,书写出传统品类与现代消费共振的新叙事,仍有待市场检验。

  新浪科技讯4月21日下午消息,继去年8月宣布融资后,千寻位置近日再次宣布完成新一笔融资交割,一年内B轮融资合计超10亿元。本轮融资新增株洲市北斗时空产业基金、无锡博智未来产业投资基金,老股东高粱资本跟投。

  据悉,本轮融资将用于时空智能大模型和“云芯一体”能力建设,并强化在低空经济、具身智能等新场景布局以及海外服务提升。

据中国人民银行网站4月21日消息,近日,中国人民银行、金融监管总局、国家外汇局、上海市人民政府联合印发《上海国际金融中心进一步提升跨境金融服务便利化行动方案》(以下简称《行动方案》)。

《行动方案》着眼于更好发挥上海国际金融中心在服务构建新发展格局中的特殊作用,支持各类主体更加安全、便捷、高效参与国际竞争与合作,从提高跨境结算效率、优化汇率避险服务、强化融资服务、加强保险保障、完善综合金融服务等五方面提出18条重点举措,对上海加快建设国际金融中心具有重要意义。

其中提到,优化外汇业务管理模式和展业流程。支持银行落实外汇展业管理办法,实施外汇业务流程优化和系统再造,对企业进行外汇合规风险等级分级并提供差异化、便利化金融服务。

完善企业集团全球资金管理体系。优化本外币一体化资金池管理政策,便利主办企业代境外成员单位开展资金集中收付业务。优化完善上海自贸试验区全功能资金池跨境资金调拨。鼓励银行逐步实现资金跨境支付自动化处理,延长对重点企业集团跨境资金池等业务的服务时间,实现全球资金实时调拨。

拓展自由贸易账户功能及应用场景。支持银行将履行“三反”义务获取的信息用于跨境业务的真实性审核,实现自由贸易账户与境外(跨一线)无延迟收付,对经认定的优质企业按照展业原则办理与境内普通账户(跨二线)人民币资金结算。支持银行基于境外机构自由贸易账户开发存款产品,允许非居民外币存款利率参考国际惯例进行市场化定价。支持符合凭交易电子信息为跨境电商提供结售汇及资金收付服务相关要求的银行,通过创新自由贸易账户服务为跨境电商提供与国际接轨的结算服务。优化自由贸易账户名单动态更新机制。

推动金融机构提升数字化服务水平。鼓励银行开展对个人与企业的数字身份跨境认证和电子识别,稳步扩大跨境收付业务中的数字化服务覆盖面。支持金融机构利用区块链技术等优化对客户电子单证、电子信息资料的真实性审核,提升“精准画像”能力,提升对“走出去”企业跨境金融服务质量。支持在沪数字人民币运营试点银行积极参与多边央行数字货币桥项目,探索创新特色场景。支持外汇交易中心为多边央行数字货币桥提供外汇流动性管理及兑换服务。

提升人民币跨境支付系统(CIPS)功能和全球网络覆盖。跨境清算公司增强与金融机构协同联动,共同提升对“走出去”企业的服务水平。推动更多银行加入CIPS,持续扩大CIPS网络覆盖范围。加强CIPS建设,完善系统功能,研究推动区块链技术应用,为人民币计价的全球贸易、航运及投融资提供安全高效的结算清算服务。

热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  中信证券发布研报称,预计网易云音乐(09899)2025~2027年调整后净利润分别为18.33/21.35/25.09亿元,结合SOTP估值法和DCF估值法的测算结果,给予公司目标价181港元/股,首次覆盖,给予“买入”评级。

  该行称,网易云音乐是中国领先的在线音乐平台,拥有强互动、年轻化的音乐社区生态。该行认为随着竞争格局改善、用户付费意愿提高和价值链重塑,在线音乐行业已进入良性增长阶段。网易云音乐通过社区生态和分发机制打造差异化体验,并通过版权回归计划和独立音乐人生态补齐内容差距,商业化变现效率加速提升,有望带动业绩持续增长。

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