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要破解全民智驾时代的销量焦虑,鸿蒙智行实行差异化布局

文|《财经》实习生王靖扬记者王静仪

编辑|王静仪

预售订单突破15万辆、问界M8正在成为赛力斯扭转2025年以来销量下滑态势的关键筹码。

4月16日,问界M8宣布上市,这款中大型SUV售价35.98万至44.98万,填补了问界M7(30万级)与M9(50万级)之间的市场空白,对标理想L9、宝马X5、奔驰GLE等车型。

鸿蒙智行目前有四个品牌,分别是与赛力斯(601127.SH)合作的问界,与奇瑞汽车合作的智界,与北汽集团合作的享界,与江淮汽车(600418.SH)合作的尊界。在已有四“界”的基础上,近期华为还先后宣布了与上汽集团和广汽集团的合作。

问界M8是鸿蒙智行瞄准中高端市场的最新动作。M8车车长近5.2米,车款近2米,车身尺寸对标稍高价位的理想L9,也和此前的爆款问界M9相差不多。2024年,问界M9以15.8万辆销量、870亿元营收成为50万以上车型冠军,——而这次推出的问界M8,从智驾系统、外观设计到内饰布局等配置均向M9看齐。

据华为鸿蒙智行官方数据,自3月6日预售到4月16日发布会当日,问界M8订单量突破15万辆。有招聘方发布信息称,问界M8新车订单火爆,赛力斯近日来正在大量招聘普工,工资5000元—8000元。有投资者致电赛力斯询问招工是否为生产问界M8做准备,工作人员表示,公司对问界M8“比较有信心”,目前小订数量已超过12万辆,会提前做好规划。

这款车型对于赛力斯至关重要,此前销量已经连续多个月同比下滑。3月销售24609辆,同比下滑34.43%;2月销售21329辆,同比下滑39.43%;1月销售16432辆,同比下滑47.02%。

问界M8订单火爆,有何亮点?

从配置和价位来看,问界M8主要对标以理想L9为代表的中高端SUV。2024年理想L9销量超过8.5万辆,而略低定位的理想L8也售出7.7万辆。同属高端车型的问界M9上市以来也累计交付超过18万辆,从销量来看,表现不俗。

然而问界M9的高销量主要建立在一线城市和新一线城市。2025年,这批用户的增换购需求已阶段性见顶,下沉市场将成为增量主要来源,但二线城市消费者对赛力斯品牌认知度存疑,客户群体更倾向传统品牌背书的车型。

面临中高端市场客户群的转变和全民智驾时代带来的技术门槛降低,问界M8在增程、空间和安全等领域持续发力。

在续航和增程方面,马力可达160匹的1.5T增程器,WLTC耗油量每百公里约0.5升左右,双电机驱动不输同价位的理想L9。

空间方面,问界M8轴距3105mm,提供三排六座、双排五座两种布局,车内有效空间长达3510mm,3座—6座百变座椅模式,让整车空间可以最大限度地自由组合。

智能驾驶方面,搭载华为ADS3.3系统:标配192线前向激光雷达+后向固态激光雷达、3分布式4D毫米波雷达矩阵、11摄像头,支持车位到车位驾驶、无图城区NCA、自动泊车及极端天气稳定驾驶。

“安全是最大的豪华,无安全,不旗舰。”赛力斯汽车总裁何利扬在发布会现场表示。搭载固态激光雷达和4D毫米波雷达、高阶智驾和HarmonyOS4智能座舱,40万级的问界M8从主动安全、被动安全和电池安全等三方面同时入手,以安全智驾为抓手,在硬件上就瞄准中高端SUV市场发力。以碰撞后开门为例,鸿蒙智行首创车门冗余设计,在车门内部安置应急电池,保障碰撞断电后仍可开门。

相比传统豪华品牌,问界M8在智能驾驶、鸿蒙生态整合、续航能力等方面具有显著优势,同时价格更具吸引力。在2025年以来M7销量持续低迷,中端SUV市场竞争日益激烈的背景下,问界M8瞄准40万级中高端市场,力图破局。据官方消息,M8上市1小时大定达2万台。

全民智驾销量焦虑,如何破局?

问界M8的推出,进一步巩固鸿蒙智行在高端新能源市场的地位,助力赛力斯(2024年营收增长305%)实现全球化布局。

据2024年年报显示,赛力斯全年营收达到1451.76亿元,同比增长305%,净利润也一举扭亏至59.46亿元,成为继特斯拉、比亚迪、理想之后,全球第四家实现盈利的新能源车企。

进入2025年,赛力斯经历着冰火两重天。一方面,1月-3月问界M9累计销量23290辆,累计同比增长117.83%,表现亮眼。

然而比起问界M9,问界M7、M5的表现差强人意。3月数据显示,问界M7销量6512辆,M5销量1064辆,与去年月销过万的辉煌表现相比有明显差距。

从此前华为历次新品发布会和技术发布会透露出的大趋势是,中阶智驾降本普惠,高阶智驾持续上攻。

今年2月举办的尊界技术发布会上,定位百万级超豪华轿车的尊界S800就以华为与江淮历经五年联合打造的‌途灵平台和被称为行业首个全栈融合的中央域控数字平台切入,将智驾提升到另一个层级。

而在中阶智驾方面,鸿蒙智行面临着激烈竞争。例如2023年2月,理想L7上市,问界M7从4月第一次销量低谷,连续五个月销量不及四位数;2024年4月,理想L6上市,问界M7当月销量第二次销量低谷,从月销量2万辆跌落到月销量1万辆。

2024年8月,问界新M7Pro上市,成为M7系列中起售价最低的车型。第一次把价格门槛降至25万元以内。对比一年前的问界新M7,问界新M7Pro实现了入门即智驾、上市即交付,同时顶配价格降到了30万元以下。

目前华为智驾水平属于行业第一梯队,根据企业宣传,2024年,鸿蒙智行旗下车型智驾总里程超过12亿公里。但高成本限制了市场渗透率,需依赖高端车型合作维持竞争力,公开资料显示,2024年鸿蒙智行车型成交均价达到37万元/台。根据华为鸿蒙智行官方数据,截至4月16日发布会当日,鸿蒙智行累计交付辆已达70万。其中问界是鸿蒙智行首个合作品牌,2024年,鸿蒙智行累计销量为44.5万辆,问界就有38.63万辆,占比超过八成。

方正证券研报认为,问界M8的推出进一步完善问界产品矩阵,自预定开启后订单便强势增长,有望成为继问界M7/M9后公司又一爆款车型。国联民生证券也认为,问界M8、问界M92025款订单数显示出问界在豪华SUV市场强大的品牌力。

以平均一个月一场大型发布会的节奏,华为鸿蒙智行加速在电动汽车领域攻城略地。

发布会现场,常务董事、终端BG董事长余承东表示,今年第三季度,华为将全系升级ADS4,带来全新、大跨度改变。

鸿蒙智行2025年密集推新,3月发布问界M9改款、M5Ultra及享界S9增程版,4月M8上市,形成覆盖20万-50万价格带的产品矩阵。

据余承东介绍,尊界S800时代旗舰也将在4月23日亮相上海车展。

今年2月,上汽集团宣布与华为达成合作,将共同打造智能新能源汽车。4月16日新品发布会当场,余承东和上汽集团总裁贾建旭共同宣布将推出“第五界”尚界,并透露首期已投入60亿元,组建超过5000人的尚界专属团队。有媒体报道,尚界计划将主攻15万-25万元市场。

问界M8的上市,既是鸿蒙智行技术实力的集中展现,亦是应对销量焦虑的关键落子。订单狂欢背后,到底有多少销量能落地转化、产能能否快速承接,时间很快会给出答案。

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