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近期,在新能源汽车及储能市场的强劲需求推动下,磷酸铁锂电池需求强劲。作为国内锂电池正极材料的领军企业,万润新能(688275)产销两旺,经营绩效有望持续改善。

中国汽车动力电池产业创新联盟4月11日发布的最新数据显示,3月份我国动力电池装车量达到56.6GWh,环比增长62.3%,同比增长61.8%。其中磷酸铁锂电池装车量为46.6GWh,占总装车量的82.3%,环比增长63.9%,同比增长97.0%。今年1—3月,我国动力电池累计装车量为130.2GWh,累计同比增长52.8%,其中磷酸铁锂电池累计装车量为105.2GWh,占比超80%,市场份额进一步提升。

同时,集邦咨询预测,2025年全球储能新增装机量有望达到221GWh,同比增长36%。中国、欧洲和美洲将成为全球储能需求的主要驱动力,占据85%的市场份额。储能市场的快速扩张,为磷酸铁锂电池及相关材料企业提供了广阔的发展空间。多家机构发布的研报显示,磷酸铁锂行业景气度反转向上,尤其是高压密磷酸铁锂供需预计偏紧,涨价幅度有望更为可观。预计2025年底至2026年初,磷酸铁锂材料价格将回归合理价值区间,部分头部企业有望利用经营优势实现盈利。

作为国内磷酸铁锂正极材料领军企业,万润新能正通过持续提升经营效率及全球化布局构建竞争护城河。公司2024年业绩快报显示,产能利用率显著提升,销量实现突破性增长。2025年,受益于新能源汽车以旧换新政策的延续及海内外储能需求的增长,公司排产同比大幅提升。此外,万润新能正加速全球化布局,其美国磷酸铁锂项目进展顺利,土地和厂房已于去年底完成交割,目前正按计划推进建设。

在产品研发方面,万润新能积极布局第四代高压实密度磷酸铁锂产品,该产品具有压实密度高、电化学性能优异等特点,目前已具备规模化量产能力。随着动力电池向高能量密度和快充方向演进,高压实磷酸铁锂产品逐渐成为市场主流,由于技术壁垒较高,头部企业在这一领域的优势将进一步凸显。

当前,磷酸铁锂行业景气度持续回升,万润新能凭借技术优势、全球化布局和产能提升,有望抓住产业机遇,迈向新的发展阶段,未来表现值得期待。(胡敏)

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