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一边伸舌头一边快速喘气图片,让你畅游快乐的海洋,尽情释放压力!
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一边伸舌头一边快速喘气图片,让你畅游快乐的海洋,尽情释放压力!

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舟山市(普陀区、嵊泗县、岱山县、定海区)  淮北市(烈山区、濉溪县、杜集区、相山区)









阿克苏地区(柯坪县、阿克苏市、新和县、库车市、乌什县、温宿县、沙雅县、阿瓦提县、拜城县)









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黑河市(爱辉区、嫩江市、五大连池市、北安市、逊克县、孙吴县)









濮阳市(濮阳县、范县、华龙区、南乐县、台前县、清丰县)









泰州市(靖江市、姜堰区、泰兴市、兴化市、高港区、海陵区)









南充市(仪陇县、顺庆区、蓬安县、南部县、高坪区、西充县、营山县、嘉陵区、阆中市)









广元市(昭化区、苍溪县、利州区、朝天区、旺苍县、剑阁县、青川县)









鸡西市(滴道区、恒山区、城子河区、梨树区、麻山区、鸡冠区、鸡东县、虎林市、密山市)

  转自:金融界

  直到昨晚人们才缓过神来,特朗普真正的交易是“卖掉美国”。

  全球市场继续遭遇抛售,尤其是对美国资产避之不及:

  -美元、美股、美债同步下跌,并且跌幅不小。美元一度跌破98水平,10年期美债收益率再度逼近4.5%,而美股三大股指跌幅均超2%;

  -与此同时,金价再创历史新高,突破3400美元——这是对美元信用体系的质疑。

  需要注意的是,特朗普对等关税引发的危机“未完待续”,现在又出现了第二轮危机“美联储独立性危机”。

  1、原本我们认为,特朗普通过周一亚洲时段市场的走势,应当认识到对美联储的批评已经影响到了市场,会想办法缓和,但事实相反——特朗普周一再次施压鲍威尔立即降息。在他看来,这恰恰是一场更大的“谈判”。他需要用舆论压力逼迫美联储提前降息,以配合他的减税和财政刺激政策。

  特朗普在TruthSocial上的一篇帖子中表示:“正如我所预测的那样,这些成本呈下降趋势,几乎不会出现通胀,但经济可能会放缓,除非‘太晚先生’,一个大失败者,现在降息。”

  2、这两场都是“人造危机”,解铃还须系铃人。要么特朗普在关税上让步,要么在与美联储的对峙中让步。

  摆在特朗普目前的是一道选择题:

  让美联储让步,在关税上更加激进;

  在关税上让步,更加猛烈批评美联储,换取美联储让步后,进一步升级关税政策。

  从特朗普的性格特点看,他可以轻易出尔反尔,但最终的目标不会改变。现在人们对任何消息都心存恐惧,感觉就像身处一个黑暗的房间里,地板上摆满了锋利的玻璃,最好的办法就是站着不动,祈祷灯能重新亮起来。但时间是不等人的,如果特朗普现在不让步,以后让步就晚了,市场会在最糟糕的情况还没发生前对其定价。

  3、现在最大的问题是,市场站在特朗普这一边,预计美联储今年会降息4次或更多。过去美联储“降息预期”只是单纯的被市场绑架,只需通过几场讲话便能扭转市场预期。而如今市场有了“带头大哥”。

  过去,美联储讲话可以轻松化解危机;如今,市场更在意的是特朗普的下一条推文。卖掉美国的不是资本,而是美国自己。(来源:华尔街情报圈)

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