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4月21日,NCE平台表示,人工智能技术的快速发展导致数据中心的能源消耗显著增加,这引发了对全球电网压力和满足这一增长需求能力的担忧。专家们对于AI能源影响的严重性存在不同看法,一些人认为潜在的技术进步将减轻这一担忧,而另一些人则警告能源安全和气候目标可能面临严重后果。

  NCE平台认为,政府和技术领袖正在努力解决AI的能源需求问题,同时平衡经济竞争力、环境责任和能源安全,导致政策方法和优先级出现差异。上周,科技巨头们敦促美国国会提高能源产量,以满足由人工智能驱动的能源需求增长。数据中心的能源足迹已经相当可观,预计在未来几年将继续增长。

  NCE平台进一步分析,供应足够的能源以满足AI的增长需求而不威胁国内能源安全是一个两党共同的优先事项,但当然存在一些关于如何实现这一目标的党派分歧。2023年,拜登签署了一项行政命令,其中包含管理AI安全和负责任发展的全面政策目标。而特朗普上任初期,几乎立即推翻了这一命令,称其“繁重”的命令将“威胁美国技术领导地位”。相反,特朗普正在领导一场不那么强调负责任的发展,更多强调“确保和推进美国AI主导地位”。

  NCE平台还提到,持续的全球AI竞赛将需要惊人的电力。2024年,数据中心大约占全球电力消耗的1.5%。国际能源机构预计,这一能源足迹将在2030年翻倍。“国际能源机构的模型预计,到2030年数据中心将使用945太瓦时(TWh),大约相当于日本目前的年电力消耗量,”自然杂志最近报道。“相比之下,数据中心在2024年消耗了415太瓦时,大约占全球总电力消耗的1.5%,”科学媒体继续报道。

  NCE平台总结认为,尽管对AI冲击全球电网和破坏实现全球脱碳化目标的所有希望的担忧被夸大了,但围绕它们的恐慌是一种典型的马尔萨斯陷阱。全球正在竞相提高AI的效率,一些人相信技术进步将大幅减少对全球电网的压力。随着技术的快速发展,能源使用效率的提高将有助于缓解电网压力,并支持全球脱碳化目标的实现。

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