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  美国铜行业的主要参与者呼吁唐纳德・特朗普总统限制铜矿石和废金属的出口,而不是对进口征收关税,以此推动国内铜生产。

  特朗普在2月签署的行政命令要求对可能征收的铜关税展开调查,这一举措扰乱了全球市场,使得美国铜价较国际基准价格大幅溢价,并引发了一场在潜在关税实施前将铜运往美国的全球竞赛。

  该行政命令要求商务部长就相关行动提出建议,“包括可能实施的关税、出口管制,或刺激国内生产的激励措施”。

  在针对美国政府对铜的“232条款”调查所做出的公开评论中,包括矿业公司力拓集团、加工商南方电线公司以及贸易商托克集团等在内的主要企业建议,政府应限制铜的出口,而非对进口征收关税。

  力拓集团写道:“特朗普政府应考虑对国内生产的铜精矿和废铜实施出口限制。”

  美国最大的铜线制造商南方电线公司表示:“政府应将监管改革和对美国铜出口的限制作为推动美国铜业发展的主要手段。”

  重要进口国

  美国是全球最大的废铜出口国,同时也是铜矿石(即铜精矿)的出口国。然而,由于国内缺乏足够的加工能力,美国也是精炼铜的重要进口国。

  对美国废铜供应的任何严格限制都将重塑废铜市场,废铜供应占铜总供应量的近三分之一。根据花旗集团的研究,美国去年的废铜出货量约为60万吨——这一数量相当于全球一些大型铜矿的产量。其中超过一半直接运往中国进行加工。

  虽然有一些回应呼吁美国限制废铜出口,在某些情况下还包括限制铜精矿出口,但许多人敦促政府不要对精炼铜征收进口关税。

  美国铜业贸易协会——铜发展协会呼吁对“包括精炼阴极铜和废铜”在内的原材料免征进口关税。

  全球最大的铜贸易商托克集团认为,应针对铜线坯、铜管和铜带等铜制成品征收进口关税,但政府应“在新的采矿和冶炼产能建成之前,目前暂不对精炼铜进口征收关税”。

  美国铜矿商自由港迈克墨伦铜金矿公司没有就关税问题提出任何直接建议,但主张美国应支持自由贸易。

  该矿商写道:“2024年,美国约50%的阴极铜需求依赖从智利、加拿大、秘鲁及其他国家进口,鉴于美国目前没有潜在生产能力,这对满足当前需求而言是必要的。促进与美国盟友的自由公平贸易将确保美国的铜供应需求得到满足。”

  当然,该行业的游说努力并不意味着特朗普政府就会听从其呼吁。

  关税威胁已使美国铜价较国际基准价格大幅溢价,交易员们预计总统将对铜进口征收高达25%的关税。尽管从历史标准来看,这一溢价幅度仍然很大,但在过去几周里已有所缩小,这可能反映出特朗普的关税政策已被证明是多么不可预测。

  例如,在3月下旬,纽约商品交易所(Comex)12月期铜的交易价格较伦敦金属交易所12月交割的铜价高出多达20%。截至周二,这一溢价已缩小至约13%。

  该行业的回应还包括一系列其他促进美国铜业发展的建议,如引入税收抵免、简化新矿开采的审批程序,以及对含铜的铜半成品征收进口关税。

  一些回应者强调了激励对美国新冶炼产能投资所面临的挑战。美国目前仅有三家铜冶炼厂,其中一家是已停产封存的海登冶炼厂。拥有海登冶炼厂的阿萨科有限责任公司在提交的意见中,请求放宽排放检测要求,以便该厂能够重新开工。

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