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公司收入符合预期,利润超过预期。莱克电气2024年实现营收97.65亿元,同比增长11%;实现归母净利润12.30亿元,同比增长10%;实现扣非归母净利润11.60亿元,同比增长18%。其中,Q4单季度实现营收25.19亿元,同比增长8.5%;实现归母净利润3.52亿元,同比增长22%;实现扣非归母净利润2.92亿元,同比增长43%。

核心零部件业务贡献成长性,新业务开拓顺利。分业务来看,公司清洁健康家电与园艺工具业务实现收入56.7亿元,同比+10.3%,电机、新能源汽车精密零部件及其他零部件产品业务实现收入38.7亿元,同比+11.7%。代工业务方面,公司OEM低毛利业务占比持续降低,收入占比已低于20%,ODM/OBM高毛利业务占比持续增加,收入占比超过40%。

自主品牌业务方面,公司24年成功开发全新产品100多款,申请专利362项,推出了多款与众不同、性能领先的产品。核心零部件业务方面,公司持续增长的核心零部件业务中汽车零部件和电机业务成为新的高毛利核心业务,该业务将成为第二增长曲线。公司多元化发展电机业务,其中工程机械及工业电机向电梯门、高空作业平台、叉车、游艇、电动自行车、协作机器人等多领域进行拓展。公司获得多个欧美大品牌新客户在中高端小厨电和电动自行车方面的合作项目,汽车电机获得了17个定点新项目。

海外产能布局完善抵御贸易摩擦。公司进一步加大海外制造布局,再次在越南和泰国购买土地新建生产基地,加快制造向越南和泰国转移。2024年6月,投资总额2830万美元的莱克越南生产基地开工建设,将于2025年二季度完工投产,建成后越南将形成超400万台小家电及园林工具、180万台电机的生产能力;2024年10月,投资总额5300万美元的帕捷泰国生产基地开工建设,将于2025年三季度完工,建成达产后预计可实现年产值14亿元人民币。公司进一步开拓了新业务,获得了大客户厨电制冷类的新产品项目,该产品将于2025年二季度开始在莱克泰国工厂批量生产。

盈利预测与投资评级。公司ODM+核心零部件处于上升通道,制造能力出众有望开拓客户,我们上调25-26年盈利预测,预计公司实现归母净利润13.4/14.4亿元(前值为13.0/14.3亿元),新增27年盈利预测15.5亿元,同比分别增长8.7%/7.7%/7.7%,对应估值为9/9/8倍,公司新业务开拓顺利,主业稳定增长,维持“买入”评级。

风险提示:关税政策风险;原材料价格波动风险;汇率波动风险,公司于2024年7月10日公告关于对上海证券交易所《关于莱克电气股份有限公司2023年年度报告的信息披露监管工作函》的回复公告,在此特别提示。

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