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  在特朗普政府的“关税大棒”下,美国进口订单暴跌64%。

  货运数据公司Vizion在最新发布的一份题为“关税冲击波”的报告中表示,美国进口订单在一季度激增后出现了崩溃的迹象。据Vizion对比2025年3月24日—31日与随后一周(4月1日—8日)的数据,全部的预订标准箱数量环比大幅下跌49%,美国整体进口数量环比大幅下跌64%。

  该公司称,关税政策已引发巨大不确定性,托运人在条件发生变化时紧急踩刹车。随着关税相关不确定性在4月进一步加剧,实时预订量出现了明显的崩溃。

  Vizion提到,美国服装进口订单量下降了59.1%,是降幅最大的产品类型。

  据英国《卫报》报道,对许多美国进口商而言,关税加征的时间点也尤为棘手。通常来说,他们会在三四月份与承运商敲定年度长期海运合同,然后在5月1日生效。这类合同对大宗商品进口商至关重要,因为他们需要可靠且经济实惠的运输保障。

  “没有比这个时间点再糟的了。不少企业都尽可能推迟签约,更多依赖现货市场,避免被合同困在未来一两周或者一个月内可能无利可图的贸易航线上。”海运和空运运价基准和市场信息服务提供商Xeneta首席分析师彼得·桑德(PeterSand)表示,

  美国物流服务巨头飞协博(Flexport)首席执行官瑞安·彼得森(RyanPetersen)表示,“供应链需要长期规划,这在当前环境下几乎不可能实现”,“太多企业陷入瘫痪,渴求稳定”。

  中国是美国第三大的进口商品和服务来源国,在许多商品类别中占据主导地位。

  澳大利亚麦格理投资银行报告显示,美国进口的97%的婴儿车、96%的人造花和雨伞、95%的烟花、93%的儿童绘本和90%的梳子都产自中国。多年来,很多美国公司建立了依赖于数千家中国工厂的供应链。

  据环球时报援引美国《洛杉矶时报》报道,美国一家与中国工厂合作了40年的益智玩具公司首席执行官里克·沃登伯格强调,“很长一段时间以来,我一直在寻找美国的制造商。但我没有找到一家可以合作的公司。”他表示,关税政策将使公司的关税账单从去年的230万美元飙升到今年的1亿多美元。“我倒是希望我有1亿美元。老实说,一点也不夸张,我感觉像是世界末日来了。”

  美国商务部数据显示,美国去年进口的玩具总额近177亿美元,其中约75%来自中国。

  此外,美国农业也担心贸易升级或将引发出口危机。据环球网援引美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)报道,美国大豆协会主席迦勒·拉格兰称,若情况长期持续,将有相当数量农民破产,大豆协会一直敦促政府与中国达成新贸易协议。他表示,约50%的美国大豆用于出口,中国是重要市场,现阶段的贸易战令人担忧。

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