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电话:2025 咸宁市(崇阳县、通城县、嘉鱼县、通山县、赤壁市、咸安区)
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来宾市(合山市、象州县、忻城县、金秀瑶族自治县、兴宾区、武宣县)
铜陵市(枞阳县、义安区、铜官区、郊区)
昌吉回族自治州(昌吉市、奇台县、阜康市、吉木萨尔县、呼图壁县、玛纳斯县、木垒哈萨克自治县)








舟山市(普陀区、嵊泗县、定海区、岱山县)
信阳市(潢川县、新县、光山县、浉河区、固始县、息县、平桥区、商城县、罗山县、淮滨县)
宿州市(萧县、泗县、灵璧县、埇桥区、砀山县)
银川市(西夏区、灵武市、贺兰县、永宁县、兴庆区、金凤区)
常州市(金坛区、天宁区、溧阳市、武进区、钟楼区、新北区)
平顶山市(新华区、石龙区、湛河区、叶县、郏县、舞钢市、卫东区、宝丰县、汝州市、鲁山县)
通化市(梅河口市、辉南县、集安市、柳河县、东昌区、二道江区、通化县)
克拉玛依市(独山子区、乌尔禾区、克拉玛依区、白碱滩区)
吕梁市(中阳县、汾阳市、交城县、柳林县、文水县、方山县、交口县、石楼县、离石区、岚县、兴县、孝义市、临县)

  标普500指数再度下挫、美元大跌、金价创出新高,面对这一切,华尔街似乎被一种低迷感所笼罩。

  “这是我记忆中出现下跌约4%时市场最安静、最平静的一天,”从业30年、以市场评论而闻名的资深人士DaveLutz表示。“股票和期权交易量根本不存在。”

  本月早些时候,4月3日和4日标普500指数在唐纳德·特朗普宣布全面对等关税之后累计大跌逾10%,一周之后他又宣布暂停执行关税,股指飙涨9.5%,而这一次的市场与这些情境都不同,投资专业人士和基金经理的气氛似乎相当平静,甚至有点茫然。要透过模糊的窗口来观察局势,这是个挑战,也带来了很多猜测。

 

 “眼下一切都与经济有关,但没有人知道会发生什么,或者可能发生什么,”HirtleCallaghan的首席投资官BradConger表示。“人们非常担心会有任何重大波动,就好比在一个黑暗的房间里,地板上到处都是锋利的玻璃碎片,最好的办法就是保持不动,寄望灯会重新亮起。”

  2025年4月势将成为有记录以来最动荡的时期之一,仅次于2008年10月和2020年3月。“但与那些时期不同,当时全球分别爆发了金融危机以及疫情,而这一次,华尔街笼罩在表面平静而内在不安的气氛之中,如果价格走势上还未反应出来,那至少在交易员的心理上是这样。”

  标普500指数涨或跌达到2%的情况今年以来平均每周都会出现一次,而过往长期平均是每月两次。Cboe波动率指数VIX徘徊在35附近,这个水平通常预示着处境不佳。

  不过,4月以来的成交量远低于平均水平,从略高于200亿股降至约135亿股。

  摩根大通交易部全球风险交易主管ElanLuger在周一下午的报告中写道,“我们的交易席非常安静。”

  不过,尽管标普500指数迈向2022年9月以来最差单月表现,但几乎没有恐慌的迹象。尤其是散户投资者,他们在继续买入。据摩根大通全球量化和衍生品策略师EmmaWu,截至纽约时间周一14:30,散户投资者净买入22亿美元股票,大大高于过去一个月的平均水平。

  “我一点也没有感觉到恐慌。只是买家罢工,”HirtleCallaghan的Conger表示。“标普500指数目前预期市盈率约为20倍,而恐慌情况下的水平看起来应该差不多是16倍左右。”

  不过,交易老手都知道很快就会变得痛苦。财报季即将拉开序幕,企业只能凭感觉行事,而投资者的关注焦点都放在前景和资本支出计划上,而不是利润。

  “没有太多好消息,”RoundhillFinancial首席执行官DaveMazza表示。“投资者现在不那么愿意冒险了。围绕贸易政策的不确定性,再加上特朗普对鲍威尔的猛烈抨击,对于已经摇摇欲坠的市场来说是雪上加霜。”

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