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  4月24日,陆金所控股(06623.HK,NYSELU)发布公告称,调整了董事长等人员,董事会建议委任安永为继任核数师,并公布了针对普华永道此前提出的关注事项而做出的独立调查结果。

  公告显示,陆金所控股董事会建议委任安永会计师事务所及安永华明会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙)(统称“安永”)为本公司核数师,以填补免任罗兵咸永道及普华永道中天后的空缺,并续聘安永为本公司核数师,任期直至截至2025年12月31日止年度的股东周年大会为止,上述委任需待6月25日于股东特别大会上批准。 

  公告还提到,4月23日陆金所董事会决议委任叶迪奇先生为独立非执行董事兼董事长、委任席通专先生为首席财务官、执行董事和授权代表。赵容奭先生将继续担任公司首席执行官兼执行董事。 

  今年1月,陆金所控股曾发布建议更换核数师公告,公告提及普华永道对某些交易提出关注。对此,陆金所控股在公告中表示,公司审计委员会已委聘国际领先律所、法证会计师等进行独立调查,主要调查结果事实如下:陆金所控股通过子公司作为唯一投资人投资若干信托,并通过信托购买若干资产,并非用于补偿关联实体在先前与陆金所控股进行的交易中蒙受的损失,而是用于赔偿若干零售投资者于投资产品的投资损失。陆金所控股亦利用上述相关信托投资向另一关联实体购置若干其他资产。

  另外,为实现前述交易,陆金所控股向一家第三方银行出售及转让若干高收益资产后转回予相关信托,从而降低道德风险及目标资产账面值潜在的减值风险。基于上述情况,董事会目前预估,截至2022年12月31日止财政年度,陆金所控股合并资产总值预计将增加不超过0.5%,合并净利润预计不会发生实质性变化;截至2023年12月31日止财政年度,陆金所控股合并资产总值预计将减少不超过2%,合并净利润预计将减少8%至15%(即人民币0.83亿元至人民币1.55亿元)。另一项普华永道函件中所提及的交易与上述任何交易均无关联。

  陆金所控股表示,经考虑独立调查结果并为进一步强化公司内部监控,董事会已批准多项改善举措,包括进一步优化董事会及管理层架构、追偿安排、委聘独立内控顾问及设置特别委员会以提升内控等。陆金所控股亦将委任继任核数师重新审计该公司2022年及2023财政年度之财务报表。

  陆金所控股同时在公告中表示,自今年1月股票暂停买卖起至本公告日期,公司业务保持正常运营。

  据其披露,2024年第四季度,该公司所赋能新增贷款总额为694亿元,同比增长47.6%,其中消费金融新增贷款为267亿元,同比增长42.5%。截至去年末,陆金所控股的消费金融贷款不良贷款率为1.2%,与去年三季度末相比持平。

  2025年第一季度,陆金所控股所赋能新增贷款总额为573亿元,同比增长19.1%,其中消费金融新增贷款为304亿元,同比增长50.0%。截至今年3月末,陆金所控股的累计借款人数约为2700万人,同比增长23.9%。截至3月末,陆金所控股的消费金融贷款不良贷款率仍保持在1.2%。

4月24日,国际货币基金组织(IMF)周三表示,由于美国关税政策所带来的经济压力,全球公共债务将超过新冠疫情时期的水平,到2030年,全球公共债务占全球GDP的比重将接近100%。IMF在最新发布的《财政监测报告》中预计,全球公共债务将在2025年上升2.8个百分点,至占全球GDP的95.1%,并在2030年进一步升至99.6%。新冠疫情爆发时,全球债务占GDP的比例在2020年一度飙升至98.9%,但随后两年因经济复苏和财政紧缩而下降了10个百分点。然而,全球债务水平正重新上升,IMF最新预测显示其增速正在加快。IMF在报告中表示:“美国宣布的重大关税政策、其他国家的反制措施以及极高的政策不确定性,共同导致经济前景恶化和风险上升。”

  另外,标普全球周三公布的数据显示,美国4月Markit制造业PMI初值50.7,意外录得扩张,好于市场原本预期的陷入收缩;服务业和综合PMI初值则低于预期,综合PMI初值更是创下16个月新低,不过仍均处于扩张区间。在市场剧烈动荡以及关税不确定性下,美国经济放缓的担忧笼罩市场,今日的PMI数据备受市场关注。高盛最新研究发现,初始失业申请、费城联储制造业指数、ISM服务业PMI指数和失业率是预警经济放缓的最佳指标。这些指标通常在衰退开始后仅一个月就会发出信号,而硬数据如GDP则需要四个月才会明显显示疲软。总的来说,最新数据表明,4月份美国商业活动增长降至16个月低点,对未来一年商业前景的预期也下降至自疫情以来最低之一。同时,商品和服务的销售价格上涨幅度为一年多来最大,尤其是制造品价格大幅上涨,与关税有关。就业情况也在变糟。

  今日需要关注的数据有,德国4月IFO商业景气指数、英国4月CBI工业订单差值、美国3月耐用品订单月率初值、美国截至4月19日当周初请失业金人数和美国3月成屋销售年化总数。

  黄金/美元

  黄金昨日大幅下挫,刷新4个交易日低位。除获利回吐持续对黄金构成打压外,美元指数在多重利好因素的支撑下冲击100.00关口也是施压黄金下挫的重要因素。此外,贸易忧虑有缓解迹象降温市场的避险情绪也对避险黄金构成打压。亚市早盘,黄金反弹收涨,现汇价交投于3324附近。今日关注3350附近的压力情况,下方支撑在3300附近。

  美元/日元

  美元/日元昨日大幅反弹,刷新6个交易日高位,现汇价交投于142.80附近。除空头回补持续对汇价构成支撑外,美元指数在良好经济数据等利好因素的支撑下持续反弹也是支撑汇价走高的重要因素。此外,对日本央行的加息预期有所降温也对汇价构成了一定的支撑。今日关注144.00附近的压力情况,下方支撑在142.00附近。

  美元/加元

  美元/加元昨日震荡上行,日线小幅收涨,现汇价交投于1.3870附近。除空头回补和1.3800关口附近所形成的技术面买盘对汇价构成了一定的支撑外,美元指数在多重利好因素的支撑下持续反弹并刷新1周高位也对汇价构成了一定的支撑。此外,原油价格回落也对汇价构成了一定的支撑。今日关注1.3950附近的压力情况,下方支撑在1.3800附近。

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