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谷歌母公司Alphabet(GOOGL.US)高管周四表示,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的贸易政策将对该公司的核心广告业务产生负面影响。

Alphabet第一季度营收好于预期,但由于特朗普的关税可能影响经济和企业支出,该公司的在线广告业务面临阻力。尽管Alphabet周四的投资者电话会议上从未提及“关税”一词,但投资者不断向公司高管询问新贸易政策对未来经济的影响,“宏观”一词在会议中多次被提及。

在特朗普4月2日宣布对数十个国家的进口商品征收关税后,一些策略师提高了经济衰退的可能性。4月9日,特朗普将许多国家的关税降至10%,为期三个月。

关税可能会影响Alphabet的数据中心等技术基础设施的成本。此外,由于预算受限,广告业务也可能出现缩减,从而对Alphabet造成影响。

Alphabet的高管们在周四的投资者电话会议上表示,现在判断该公司将受到多大影响还为时过早,但他们表示,该公司的广告业务可能会遇到阻力,尤其是来自亚太地区的广告业务。

以下是电话会议问答环节重点摘要:

摩根士丹利的BrianNowak问道:“在垂直广告领域、地区或类别中,哪些因素可能显示出疲软迹象?”

谷歌首席商务官PhilippSchindler表示:“我们不想猜测潜在的影响,但需要指出的是,小额关税豁免政策的变化显然会在2025年给我们的广告业务带来轻微阻力,主要来自亚太地区的零售商。”

本月初,特朗普签署了一项行政命令,将从5月2日起对进入美国的价值低于800美元的货物征收相当于货物价值30%或每件25美元的关税。从6月1日起,关税将提高到每件50美元。

奥本海默公司估计,零售商是谷歌第一季度广告营收增长的最大贡献者之一,至少占其广告营收的21%。中国折扣电子商务应用Temu和Shein近年来一直是美国广告的主要客户,而Temu已经大幅削减了广告支出。

Schindler补充道:“我们显然无法免受宏观环境的影响。”

巴克莱银行的RossSandler谈到在YouTube上做广告的品牌时问道:“他们是否开始对一些宏观经济波动做出反应?”

Schindler表示:”现在还处于第二季度,无法对情况做出更具体的判断。”他还补充道,谷歌“在应对不确定时期方面拥有丰富的经验”。

摩根大通的DougAnmuth问道:“如果宏观经济走弱,我们看到经济进一步放缓,你是否认为会找到更多机会来削减成本?”

Alphabet首席财务官AnatAshkenazi表示,该公司仍考虑在2025年投入750亿美元的资本支出,但“由于交付时间和施工进度变化的影响,投资水平可能会因季度而波动。”

高管们在2月份表示,支出将用于技术基础设施,主要是服务器,其次是数据中心和网络。

Ashkenazi在周四的电话会议上表示,公司仍然专注于“提高整个组织的效率和生产力”,并提到了她在2024年的评论。她当时表示,在削减成本方面,公司“总是可以再进一步”,其中包括削减员工人数和房地产。

Alphabet首席执行官SundarPichai也提到,“效率”是保持公司精简以抵御潜在宏观风暴的一种手段。

高盛的EricSheridan问道:“如果宏观经济环境发生变化,变得更加不稳定且呈下行趋势,投资者应该如何看待今年那些必须进行的、几乎是固定性质的投资,以及那些可能更具灵活性的投资?”

Pichai回应称,公司计划继续整合团队并削减其他方面的成本,“这应该有助于我们建立一个更具弹性的组织,无论宏观经济状况如何。”

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