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来源:@华夏时报微博

华夏时报记者李凯旋 北京报道

房价正持续向着平稳的方向走去。4月16日,国家统计局发布的数据显示,今年3月份,住房市场成交活跃度提升,70个大中城市中,商品住宅销售价格环比上涨城市个数增加。其中,一线城市环比上涨,二、三线城市环比总体降幅收窄,各线城市同比降幅也继续收窄。

值得关注的是,一线城市房价继续“领跑”,上海新房更是同比、环比均上涨。国家统计局方面表示,房地产市场的需求空间还比较大,当前我国正处于消费结构升级的过程中,且城镇化还未完成。业内认为,住房消费在此轮扩内需中扮演重要角色,后续将有更多政策出台。

房价上涨城市数量增加

一线城市继续在此轮复苏行情中担任“领头羊”的角色。数据显示,3月份,一线城市新建商品住宅销售价格环比上涨0.1%,涨幅与上月相同。其中,上海和深圳分别上涨0.7%和0.1%,北京和广州则是分别下降0.2%和0.1%。二线城市新建商品住宅销售价格环比持平,与上月相同,三线城市则是环比下降0.2%,降幅收窄0.1个百分点。

3月份,70个大中城市中,新建商品住宅销售价格环比上涨城市有24个,比上月增加6个;二手住宅环比上涨城市有10个,比上月增加7个。“房价上涨的城市数量增加说明此前的政策是有效的,也说明市场的传导机制是畅通的,预计二季度房价上涨的城市数量会进一步增加。”上海易居房地产研究院副院长严跃进对《华夏时报》记者表示。

同比来看,少数城市的房价依旧坚挺。数据显示,3月份,一线城市新建商品住宅销售价格同比下降2.8%,降幅比上月收窄0.2个百分点。其中,上海上涨5.7%,北京、广州和深圳分别下降5.7%、7.2%和3.9%。一线城市二手住宅销售价格同比下降4.1%,降幅收窄0.8个百分点。其中,北京、上海、广州和深圳分别下降2.1%、1.4%、8.7%和4.1%。

销售数据大幅改善

目前,房地产开发投资情况尚未出现明显回暖。国家统计局发布的数据显示,一季度,全国房地产开发投资为19904亿元,同比下降9.9%。其中,住宅投资为15133亿元,下降9.0%。在此背景下,开工数据也没有明显提升。一季度,房地产开发企业房屋施工面积为613705万平米,同比下降9.5%。房屋新开工面积为12996万平米,下降24.4%。房屋竣工面积为13060万平米,下降14.3%。

值得关注的是,4月15日,无锡针对楼市发布“锡十条”,其中提到允许房企分期出让金、分期申请施工证等。严跃进认为,该举措有助于降低约束,更好促进企业新开工等工作节奏的加快。

市场端则是回暖明显,销售数据大幅改善,市场交易增加。一季度,新建商品住宅销售面积为21869万平米,同比下降3.0%;新建商品房销售额为20798亿元,下降2.1%。而2024年,这两大数值的降幅分别为12.9%和17.1%。受此影响,3月末,商品房待售面积为78664万平米,比2月末减少1227万平米。

“全国指标开始接近由跌转涨的关键期。目前,购房市场具有较好的基础,在国内大循环的关键期,住房消费提振工作会持续,这对于后续销售数据的改善具有非常积极的作用。”严跃进对《华夏时报》记者说。

更多政策正在路上

国家统计局方面表示,一季度,我国房地产形势明显好转,促进房地产止跌回稳的政策效果还在持续显现。总体上看,当前房地产市场仍处在调整阶段,房地产需求还需要释放,中国的消费结构还处在升级过程中,城镇化还没完成,房地产市场的需求空间尤其是好房子的市场需求空间还比较大。

值得关注的是,4月15日,中共中央政治局常委、国务院总理李强在北京调研时指出,以更大力度促进消费、扩大内需、做强国内大循环,进一步释放我国超大规模市场的活力潜力,并强调房地产市场仍有很大的发展空间。“促进住房消费是今年扩大内需的关键内容,未来政策有望加快落实,并促进房地产市场进一步修复。”中指研究院政策研究总监陈文静如此认为。

业内认为,市场的复苏离不开政策的支持,扩内需的背后则是更加有力的政策。《华夏时报》记者注意到,目前,各城市出台的地产政策更加偏向于为市场松绑,引入需求“活水”,促进交易。

以“锡十条”为例,其提出暂停新建商品住宅价格备案,给予企业更大定价自主权。《华夏时报》记者发现,截至目前,已经有超过10个城市明确取消商品房价格备案。“这一举措有助于企业根据市场实际情况,更加灵活、合理地设定项目销售价格,市场化定价在促进项目资金回笼的同时,也有助于增强市场的调节能力。”陈文静对《华夏时报》记者说。

责任编辑:张蓓 主编:张豫宁

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