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  来源:财联社

  股票研究公司MoffettNathanson认为,短期内苹果股价的跌势不会迎来任何缓解,尽管年内已经累跌超23%,但“离脱离困境还有很长的路要走”。

  当地时间周一(4月21日),分析师CraigMoffett重申了对苹果的“卖出”评级,并将其目标价从184美元大幅下调至141美元。根据FactSet的数据,华尔街分析师对苹果的平均目标价为241美元。

  鉴于苹果上周四收于196.98美元,这意味Moffett认为该股还有超过28%的下行空间。Moffett还下调了苹果的长期盈利预期,原因是美国总统特朗普征收的关税以及贸易战的持续升温。

  不过,Moffett略微上调了苹果2025财年的短期每股收益预期,从7.18美元提高到7.20美元,但这仅是基于消费者“抢跑”以避开关税影响的预期,他指出这种效应不会持续。

  与之相比,华尔街预期苹果2025财年每股收益为7.26美元(该财年截止至9月)。至于2026财年,Moffett现在预计全年每股收益仅为7.06美元,低于此前预测的7.87美元,也远低于市场8.00美元的平均预期。

  Moffett解释道,虽然对苹果最坏的情况在4月11日美国政府暂停对智能手机加征对等关税后暂时被排除了,但苹果之后还需面临的关税水平在一个月前还是难以想象的。

  自Moffett1月份下调苹果评级至“卖出”以来,苹果股票的远期市盈率已从32倍下降至约27倍。截至发稿,苹果跌超3%,本月累跌逾14%,年内跌幅扩大至23%。

  Moffett指出,考虑到市场对苹果的盈利预期“几乎没有下调”。因此,这些预期尚未充分反映苹果当前面临的诸多问题,未来市盈率可能还会继续下滑。

  “目前,没有简单的解决方案,”Moffett解释道,苹果位于贸易战中心的夹击之中,不论是为高额关税买单,还是为重构供应链支付巨额成本,最终都会导致成本大幅上升,是一个双输的选择题。

  但关税并非苹果面临的唯一阻力,Moffett指出,在人工智能商业化方面,苹果已经落后于同行,未能激发其王牌产品iPhone强劲的换机潮。

  Moffett还提到,谷歌母公司Alphabet正在面对的反垄断案也可能给苹果带来额外风险,“苹果从谷歌收取的搜索引擎分成,占其运营利润的四分之一以上。”

  (财联社赵昊)

  周一热门中概股涨跌不一。纳斯达克中国金龙指数(HXC)收高0.20%。

  上涨股当中(按市值从高到低),阿里巴巴涨1.18%,拼多多涨0.72%,网易涨0.92%,携程涨0.73%,百度涨0.47%,理想汽车涨0.39%,贝壳涨2.42%,富途控股涨0.72%,满帮涨3.57%,蔚来涨2.27%。

  下跌股当中(按市值从高到低),台积电跌2.56%,京东跌1.90%,中华电信跌1.00%,腾讯音乐跌2.60%,日月光半导体跌0.87%,小鹏汽车跌0.11%,联电跌1.32%,中通跌0.32%,微牛跌6.49%,华住酒店集团跌0.09%,中国新城农村跌3.38%,新东方跌0.78%,哔哩哔哩跌0.12%,唯品会跌1.36%,BOSS直聘跌2.01%,WSP控股跌3.11%。

  美股周一遭遇“黑色星期一”,道指收盘重挫逾970点。美国总统特朗普再度督促美联储降息,并对美联储独立性发出威胁,使投资者担心美元信誉下降并导致美国经济下滑。

  道指跌971.82点,跌幅为2.48%,报38170.41点;纳指跌415.55点,跌幅为2.55%,报15870.90点;标普500指数跌124.50点,跌幅为2.36%,报5158.20点。

  科技股七巨头普遍下跌。英伟达下跌4.5%,亚马逊跌3.1%,谷歌A类股下跌2.3%。

  美国总统特朗普周一再度炮轰美联储主席鲍威尔,敦促他立即降息,其言论引发市场恐慌。

  领涨中概股列表:

  领跌中概股列表:

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