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  上周,美股三大指数均出现下跌,其中,道指和纳指的累计跌幅均超过2.6%,标普500指数下跌1.5%。此外,北京时间4月21日,美元指数跌破99关口,为2022年4月以来首次。

  机构认为,美股市场波动主要由两个因素驱动:一是美国关税政策依然不明朗;二是美联储主席鲍威尔最近关于货币政策的公开言论增加投资者悲观预期。

  值得注意的是,美国和欧元区计划于当地时间本周三公布4月份的制造业PMI初值数据。在美国的数据中,制造业投入价格指数值得关注,因为它可能反映因近期加征关税而导致的成本转嫁压力。欧元区的数据则应关注新出口订单指数是否有下降的趋势信号。同日将发布的美联储经济状况褐皮书或将进一步揭示政策波动对地区经济的传导效应。

  市场静待美欧4月PMI数据

  在关税阴霾持续发酵的背景下,4月制造业PMI初值数据或成为观测全球产业链受损的首个风向标。

  业内人士认为,自美国政府4月2日公布新一轮加征关税计划以来,虽然近期市场反应相对克制,但政策实质性影响或于美国当地时间周三集中显现。届时美国、欧盟、英国三大经济体将发布4月制造业PMI初值,该数据将成为评估关税政策对企业与消费端冲击的首个观察指标。

  其中,美国制造业PMI中的投入价格分项指标尤其关键,可能反映关税措施对供应链成本的传导效应。该指数被业内称为衡量关税通胀压力的“第一站”,美国该指标3月数据已反映企业成本压力加剧。分析人士预计,美国4月数据或进一步走高。欧元区数据需重点关注新出口订单是否出现萎缩迹象。

  同时,周三美联储还将发布经济状况褐皮书,或揭示关税政策对地区经济的实际影响。

  此外,美股“科技七巨头”中的特斯拉和谷歌母公司Alphabet本周将公布财报。其中,特斯拉计划在周二公布财报,今年以来,这家电动汽车制造商股价已下跌超过三分之一。此前,该公司公布的第一季度交付量低于预期。Alphabet计划在周四公布财报,该公司上季度公布财报时,其云业务收入令分析师失望。

  俄罗斯复活节停火不再延长

  据央视新闻报道,当地时间4月21日0时过后,随着复活节的结束,俄罗斯30小时停火正式到期。截至发稿,俄乌双方均未发布延长停火的表态。

  俄罗斯总统普京19日在会见俄武装力量总参谋长格拉西莫夫时说,在复活节20日到来之际,从19日18时至21日0时,俄军将停止所有战斗行动。俄方希望乌克兰方面能效仿俄方做法。泽连斯基同日在社交媒体发文,提议将停火期限延长至20日复活节之后,称30小时不足以建立真正的信任。20日,俄总统新闻秘书佩斯科夫在回答俄媒提出有关延长停火可能性的问题时回应称,“没有其他指令”。他当天表示,普京没有下达关于延长停火的命令。

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