Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82
从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!
随机图片

从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!

更新时间: 浏览次数: 251

400电话:123456(点击咨询)
从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!各观看免费《今日汇总》
从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!各热线观看免费2025已更新(2025已更新)








从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!观看免费电话:(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)








从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!观看免费热线(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)




从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!各区点热线观看免费《今日发布》
Random Image 从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!电话








7天观看免费人工电话为您、从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!团队在调度中心的统筹调配下,线下专业及各地区人员团队等专属,整个报修流程规范有序,后期同步跟踪查询公开透明。








所有团队均经过专业培训、持证上岗,所用产品配件均为原厂直供,








从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!各观看免费《今日汇总》2025已更新(今日/推荐)








从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!电话区域:








潮州市(饶平县、潮安区、湘桥区)








许昌市(襄城县、禹州市、建安区、魏都区、鄢陵县、长葛市)








德阳市(广汉市、中江县、绵竹市、罗江区、旌阳区、什邡市)








泉州市(泉港区、金门县、德化县、安溪县、洛江区、永春县、南安市、石狮市、丰泽区、晋江市、惠安县、鲤城区)  白银市(平川区、靖远县、白银区、景泰县、会宁县)








安康市(紫阳县、镇坪县、旬阳市、汉阴县、平利县、岚皋县、白河县、石泉县、宁陕县、汉滨区)








泰安市(肥城市、岱岳区、宁阳县、新泰市、东平县、泰山区)








定西市(通渭县、临洮县、陇西县、渭源县、岷县、安定区、漳县)黄石市(下陆区、大冶市、黄石港区、阳新县、西塞山区、铁山区)








新余市(渝水区、分宜县)  汉中市(佛坪县、洋县、勉县、城固县、留坝县、西乡县、汉台区、略阳县、南郑区、镇巴县、宁强县)








台州市(三门县、温岭市、天台县、黄岩区、椒江区、玉环市、路桥区、临海市、仙居县)








林芝市(朗县、巴宜区、米林市、工布江达县、波密县、墨脱县、察隅县)








肇庆市(封开县、端州区、广宁县、高要区、四会市、德庆县、鼎湖区、怀集县)








聊城市(东昌府区、临清市、阳谷县、莘县、冠县、茌平区、东阿县、高唐县)








阜新市(清河门区、阜新蒙古族自治县、新邱区、太平区、彰武县、细河区、海州区)








克孜勒苏柯尔克孜自治州(阿图什市、阿克陶县、阿合奇县、乌恰县)








吉林市(桦甸市、船营区、龙潭区、舒兰市、昌邑区、永吉县、磐石市、丰满区、蛟河市)








平顶山市(新华区、卫东区、叶县、郏县、鲁山县、湛河区、汝州市、舞钢市、宝丰县、石龙区)








铜陵市(铜官区、郊区、枞阳县、义安区)








邯郸市(馆陶县、临漳县、邱县、磁县、峰峰矿区、复兴区、成安县、鸡泽县、曲周县、大名县、武安市、广平县、涉县、肥乡区、魏县、邯山区、丛台区、永年区)








仙桃市(潜江市、神农架林区、天门市)








怀化市(洪江市、溆浦县、新晃侗族自治县、沅陵县、辰溪县、靖州苗族侗族自治县、鹤城区、中方县、通道侗族自治县、会同县、麻阳苗族自治县、芷江侗族自治县)








梅州市(大埔县、梅江区、五华县、兴宁市、蕉岭县、平远县、丰顺县、梅县区)








西藏自治区








长春市(双阳区、朝阳区、公主岭市、农安县、榆树市、九台区、南关区、绿园区、二道区、宽城区、德惠市)








威海市(文登区、环翠区、乳山市、荣成市)








延安市(延长县、宝塔区、志丹县、甘泉县、黄龙县、洛川县、富县、黄陵县、安塞区、吴起县、宜川县、子长市、延川县)








延边朝鲜族自治州(安图县、和龙市、珲春市、敦化市、图们市、汪清县、龙井市、延吉市)








中卫市(海原县、沙坡头区、中宁县)
400电话:123456(点击咨询)
从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!各观看免费《今日汇总》《今日发布》
从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!各观看免费《今日汇总》(2025已更新)








从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!观看免费电话:(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)








从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!观看免费热线(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)




从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!各观看免费《今日汇总》【2025已更新列表】
从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!电话








7天观看免费人工电话为您、从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!团队在调度中心的统筹调配下,线下专业及各地区人员团队等专属,整个报修流程规范有序,后期同步跟踪查询公开透明。








所有团队均经过专业培训、持证上岗,所用产品配件均为原厂直供,








从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!中心2025已更新(今日/推荐)








从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!电话区域:








贵港市(港北区、覃塘区、桂平市、平南县、港南区)








日照市(东港区、岚山区、莒县、五莲县)








保定市(高阳县、满城区、徐水区、定州市、安国市、阜平县、涞源县、曲阳县、顺平县、雄县、涞水县、唐县、容城县、望都县、易县、莲池区、博野县、涿州市、蠡县、清苑区、竞秀区、安新县、高碑店市、定兴县)








朝阳市(双塔区、朝阳县、建平县、北票市、龙城区、喀喇沁左翼蒙古族自治县、凌源市)  嘉峪关市








保山市(龙陵县、隆阳区、施甸县、昌宁县、腾冲市)








绍兴市(诸暨市、越城区、嵊州市、上虞区、柯桥区、新昌县)








衢州市(龙游县、常山县、衢江区、江山市、柯城区、开化县)澳门特别行政区








黑河市(逊克县、五大连池市、孙吴县、爱辉区、北安市、嫩江市)  通辽市(开鲁县、霍林郭勒市、科尔沁区、库伦旗、扎鲁特旗、科尔沁左翼后旗、科尔沁左翼中旗、奈曼旗)








西宁市(湟中区、城东区、城中区、大通回族土族自治县、湟源县、城北区、城西区)








云浮市(云城区、云安区、罗定市、郁南县、新兴县)








东营市(垦利区、广饶县、利津县、东营区、河口区)克拉玛依市(乌尔禾区、独山子区、克拉玛依区、白碱滩区)








株洲市(醴陵市、攸县、天元区、茶陵县、芦淞区、石峰区、炎陵县、渌口区、荷塘区)








银川市(金凤区、灵武市、永宁县、西夏区、兴庆区、贺兰县)








资阳市(安岳县、雁江区、乐至县)








鸡西市(密山市、梨树区、城子河区、鸡东县、鸡冠区、恒山区、虎林市、滴道区、麻山区)








阳泉市(城区、平定县、盂县、郊区、矿区)








宁德市(周宁县、古田县、柘荣县、福鼎市、屏南县、蕉城区、霞浦县、寿宁县、福安市)








马鞍山市(博望区、当涂县、雨山区、和县、花山区、含山县)








临沂市(临沭县、费县、莒南县、兰陵县、蒙阴县、沂水县、沂南县、兰山区、河东区、平邑县、郯城县、罗庄区)








十堰市(竹山县、郧西县、张湾区、丹江口市、房县、茅箭区、郧阳区、竹溪县)








宜宾市(江安县、南溪区、叙州区、高县、筠连县、兴文县、珙县、屏山县、长宁县、翠屏区)








抚顺市(东洲区、新宾满族自治县、顺城区、抚顺县、望花区、清原满族自治县、新抚区)








临夏回族自治州(临夏市、积石山保安族东乡族撒拉族自治县、临夏县、广河县、东乡族自治县、和政县、康乐县、永靖县)








郴州市(嘉禾县、汝城县、资兴市、桂东县、永兴县、临武县、安仁县、苏仙区、桂阳县、北湖区、宜章县)








北海市(铁山港区、合浦县、银海区、海城区)








香港特别行政区








驻马店市(遂平县、驿城区、上蔡县、泌阳县、正阳县、新蔡县、确山县、汝南县、西平县、平舆县)

未来保险公司保费投资权益类资产比例有望逐步提高,如果险资真要大规模增持股票,红利股应该是首选。

成一虫/文

4月8日,国家金融监督管理总局发布《关于调整保险资金权益类资产监管比例有关事项的通知》(下称“《通知》”),优化保险资金比例监管政策,加大对资本市场和实体经济的支持力度。《通知》简化档位标准,将部分档位偿付能力充足率对应的权益类资产比例上调5%。上季末综合偿付能力充足率100%-150%的,权益类资产账面余额不得高于本公司上季末总资产的20%;偿付能力充足率150%-250%的,权益类资产不得高于30%;偿付能力充足率250%-350%的,权益类资产不得高于40%。

按照A股五大保险公司中国人寿、中国平安、中国太保、中国人保、新华保险2024年底综合偿付能力充足率来测算,它们的权益类资产(包括股票、股权两大项投资)可以占到总资产的30%-40%以下。

笔者最近看保险股的年报,最大的感受就是其股票仓位太轻,主要的资产管理仓位都在债券、存款类资产,而受市场利率不断走低影响,长期保险产品(比如部分寿险、健康险等)的预定利率(2.5%),加上税费、销售费及行政管理成本等可能高达3.5%-4%左右。债券收益可能无法覆盖保单总成本。

短期内,由于市场利率走低,2024年债券二级市场价格大涨,债券牛市会让保险公司的年度投资收益率很好看,但这只是短线利好,保险公司的长期存量保单如果没有在当年就配置齐全足够久期的债券,现在就会碰到息差的麻烦。要解决这个麻烦,最好的办法就是增加股票、股权投资的比重。

先看中国平安,2024年综合投资收益率5.8%,同比上升2.2个百分点;寿险及健康险业务综合投资收益率6%,同比上升2.4个百分点;近10年平均净投资收益率5%;近10年平均综合投资收益率5.1%。考虑到市场利率走低,中国平安于2024年审慎下调寿险及健康险业务内含价值长期投资回报率假设至4%、风险贴现率至8.5%/7.5%。

截至2024年末,中国平安保险资金投资组合规模超5.73万亿元,较年初增长21.4%。其中,投资债权产品大约从上一年的近72%(债券及债券基金约60%出头)变成2024年的75%(债券及债券基金约63.5%),股票及权益基金由上一年的9.3%变成2024年的9.9%,非上市公司股权及长期股权投资从上年的6.6%变成5.6%。股票加股权的权益投资合计大约只占15.5%,距离30%的监管限制还差一倍。

展望未来,如果股票是年化8%收益率(因为上市公司的平均净资产收益率大致在7%-8%左右),乘以目前10%的投资占比(股票仓位)就是0.8%;债券假设是2.2%收益率,乘以60%仓位,就是1.32%;股权投资假设是10%收益率,乘以6%仓位是0.6%;余下投资占比24%(包括现金、存款、投资性物业、其他债权产品等),假设是4%出头的收益率,二者相乘得到1%,合计是3.72%。低于4%的内含价值假设收益率。

再看中国人寿。2024年投资收益率是5.5%,内含价值假设收益率也是4%。至2024年末,中国人寿投资资产达6.61万亿元,其中债券配置比例为59.04%,定期存款配置比例为6.63%,债权型金融产品配置比例为7.92%,股票和基金(不包含货币市场基金)配置比例为12.18%。这里的基金可能包括债券基金、混合基金,不全是权益基金。它直接持有股票7.58%,基金4.64%,所以我估计股票投资比例应该是9%-12%左右,跟中国平安相当,两家的债券比重也相近。所以,它的问题跟平安一样:未来如果利率走低,收益率低于4%怎么办?

中国人保2024年投资收益率5.6%。截至2024年底投资资产1.64万亿元,其中债券投资占比48.9%,定存7.7%,其他固定收益投资11.3%,合计是67.9%。股票3.7%,基金5.3%(注意:不是权益基金,是所有基金)。所以,我估计人保的股票投资占比可能只有6%-8%左右,更低。

中国太保2024年投资收益率5.6%。截至2024年底投资资产2.73万亿元,其中债券及债券基金投资占比60.5%,其他固定收益投资15.4%,合计是75.9%。定存6.4%。股票9.3%,权益基金是1.9%,合计是11.2%,比平安、人保高,也可能高于人寿。

新华保险2024年总投资收益率为5.8%。截至2024年底投资资产1.63万亿元,其中债券及债务投资占比52.1%,定存17.3%,股票(包括优先股)11.1%,基金(包括债券基金、股票基金等)是7.7%,长期股权投资是1.9%、股权计划。新华保险的股票投资比较多,股票占比在2024年增加了3.2个百分点。

金融监管总局年初称,鼓励保险资金稳步提升投资股市的比例,特别是大型国有保险公司要发挥头雁作用,力争每年新增保费30%用于投资股市。这5家险企合计17多万亿元投资资产,目前股票占比约10%左右。截至2024年底,国内保险资金运用余额超过33万亿元,投资股票和权益类基金的金额超过4.4万亿元,占比约为13%。如果未来权益投资比重慢慢提高到30%,再假设其中三分之二投向股票,就是新增近4万亿元入市。

如果险资真要大规模增持股票,买银行、水电、移动电信、高速公路、能源等红利股应该是首选。从这个角度来看,绩优红利股,尤其是大盘央企蓝筹股的下跌空间有限。个人觉得险资股票投资应该逐年提高,利国利民,也有利于企业自身,否则长期保单可能出现息差亏损。

(作者系资深投资人士。文中个股仅为举例分析,不作买卖推荐。)

本文刊于04月12日出版的《证券市场周刊》

新闻结尾 从卫生间做到卧室打扑克牌,和小伙伴一起开启激情对战之旅!的相关文章
单亲妈妈背着30斤的孩子送外卖
中方回应美“对等关税”对GDP影响
中国制造智能设备成外贸新亮点
为什么大多数人不在乎住宅外立面美观?
中国制造智能设备成外贸新亮点
五一小长假前夜火车票今日开抢
  • 友情链接:
  • 三河当地对“店招改色”仍沉默 卷出新高度的 AI 家电 明明已经成人,为何总像孩子一样无助? 特朗普要叫停英伟达对华特供版

    查看更多评价 ∨