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  来源:财联社

  股票研究公司MoffettNathanson认为,短期内苹果股价的跌势不会迎来任何缓解,尽管年内已经累跌超23%,但“离脱离困境还有很长的路要走”。

  当地时间周一(4月21日),分析师CraigMoffett重申了对苹果的“卖出”评级,并将其目标价从184美元大幅下调至141美元。根据FactSet的数据,华尔街分析师对苹果的平均目标价为241美元。

  鉴于苹果上周四收于196.98美元,这意味Moffett认为该股还有超过28%的下行空间。Moffett还下调了苹果的长期盈利预期,原因是美国总统特朗普征收的关税以及贸易战的持续升温。

  不过,Moffett略微上调了苹果2025财年的短期每股收益预期,从7.18美元提高到7.20美元,但这仅是基于消费者“抢跑”以避开关税影响的预期,他指出这种效应不会持续。

  与之相比,华尔街预期苹果2025财年每股收益为7.26美元(该财年截止至9月)。至于2026财年,Moffett现在预计全年每股收益仅为7.06美元,低于此前预测的7.87美元,也远低于市场8.00美元的平均预期。

  Moffett解释道,虽然对苹果最坏的情况在4月11日美国政府暂停对智能手机加征对等关税后暂时被排除了,但苹果之后还需面临的关税水平在一个月前还是难以想象的。

  自Moffett1月份下调苹果评级至“卖出”以来,苹果股票的远期市盈率已从32倍下降至约27倍。截至发稿,苹果跌超3%,本月累跌逾14%,年内跌幅扩大至23%。

  Moffett指出,考虑到市场对苹果的盈利预期“几乎没有下调”。因此,这些预期尚未充分反映苹果当前面临的诸多问题,未来市盈率可能还会继续下滑。

  “目前,没有简单的解决方案,”Moffett解释道,苹果位于贸易战中心的夹击之中,不论是为高额关税买单,还是为重构供应链支付巨额成本,最终都会导致成本大幅上升,是一个双输的选择题。

  但关税并非苹果面临的唯一阻力,Moffett指出,在人工智能商业化方面,苹果已经落后于同行,未能激发其王牌产品iPhone强劲的换机潮。

  Moffett还提到,谷歌母公司Alphabet正在面对的反垄断案也可能给苹果带来额外风险,“苹果从谷歌收取的搜索引擎分成,占其运营利润的四分之一以上。”

  (财联社赵昊)

  由于特朗普继续施压美联储降息引发金融市场震荡,加上贸易战担忧加剧,周一金融市场避险情绪增强,黄金突破每盎司3400美元再创历史新高,原油走低。伦敦金属交易所因假期休市。

  原油:油价下跌特朗普施压美联储及贸易战忧虑拖累市场走低

  原油价格周一下跌,一方面是因为美国总统特朗普加大了对美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在货币政策方面的批评力度,引发金融市场震荡。

  WTI原油期货下跌2.5%,收于每桶约63美元,创下4月10日以来的最大单日跌幅。

  市场对原油需求的担忧再次升温,而日本首相石破茂则表示,日本不会为了就关税问题达成协议而一味屈从于美国的要求。

  周一整体金融市场呈现避险情绪,给多种大宗商品带来压力。一个衡量美元走势的指标跌至2023年12月以来的最低点,美国股市也大幅下跌。

  由于一些国家正值复活节假期,再加上5月WTI期货合约临近周二到期,市场的交易量下降。

  迪拜EmiratesNBDPjsc的研究主管EdBell表示:“原油正在受到整体市场避险情绪的拖累而走低。”他指出,当前市场对原油的整体情绪依然偏空,原因在于需求预期下调和全球经济增长前景黯淡。

  纽约市场5月交割的WTI原油跌2.5%,结算价报每桶63.08美元。

  交投较为活跃的6月合约结算价为62.41美元。

  6月布伦特原油下跌2.5%收于每桶66.26美元。

  贵金属:金价突破3400美元再创新高

  黄金价格周一再创历史新高,在美元陷入新一轮疲软、美国总统特朗普继续施压美联储以及持续的贸易战之忧支撑下,投资者避险需求高涨。

  特朗普周一发帖称,随着能源成本和食品价格大幅下跌,“几乎不会有通胀,但经济可能放缓,除非‘太迟先生’这个大废物现在就降息”。他还指责美联储主席鲍威尔动作“总是太迟”,只有大选期间例外。

  白宫国家经济委员会主任凯文·哈塞特上周五对媒体透露,总统正在研究是否可以免去鲍威尔美联储主席的职务。

  由于担心鲍威尔遭解雇,抛售美国相关资产的交易周一大行其道,美元和美国股市在节后清淡的交投中也双双走低。

  现货黄金一度上涨超过3%,突破了每盎司3430美元。

  截至美东时间下午3点,黄金现货上涨3%,报3425.99美元/盎司;彭博美元指数下跌0.72%。

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