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  美国3月制造业产值温和增长,而美国总统特朗普在随后一个月宣布的更大范围关税将至少在短期对制造业构成风险。

  美联储周三公布的数据显示,3月制造业产值环比增长0.3%,2月数据修正为增长1%,主要受到汽车组装量激增的推动。剔除汽车产值,3月制造业产值也增长0.3%。

  总体工业产值四个月来首次下滑。由于天气转暖,公用事业产出下降,而采矿和能源开采活动上升。

  第一季度制造业产值稳步增长5.1%,为2021年底以来的最大增长,因许多客户在关税上调之前增加了订单。

  制造业面临的其他不利因素还包括某些材料成本上升,以及与特朗普贸易政策执行不均衡相关的普遍不确定性,使得供应链管理更加复杂。尽管许多企业已宣布计划在美国设厂,但也有许多企业将投资计划搁置,等待美国与贸易伙伴达成双边协议且税收政策更为明确。

指标实际 估计工业产值(环比) -0.3%-0.2%制造业产值(环比)+0.3% +0.2%

  报告显示,3月制造业增长反映了汽车及零部件产出连续第二个月增长,以及航空航天设备产出回升。

  按市场类别划分,商业和军用设备以及建筑用品产出攀升,而消费品产出则因能源而下降。

  美联储报告显示,工厂产能利用率小幅升至77.3%,而总体工业产能利用率降至77.8%。

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