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  4月16日电国新办16日举行新闻发布会,介绍2025年一季度国民经济运行情况。会上,国家统计局副局长盛来运指出,从短期来看,美国加征高额关税会对我国经济和外贸带来一定压力,但是改变不了中国经济持续长期向好的大势。中国经济基础稳、优势多、韧性强、潜力大,我们有底气、有信心、有能力应对外部挑战,实现既定发展目标。

  发布会上,有记者问:当前,美对华加征145%的关税,如果关于部分科技产品的临时缓和措施结束之后,关税水平依然保持在145%,中方估计会对中国的GDP造成百分之多少的影响?对未来几个季度中国经济增速的展望如何?中国是否能够实现今年5%左右的增长目标?

  盛来运表示,我们坚决反对美国搞关税壁垒和贸易霸凌,这种做法损人不利己,违背了经济规律和世界贸易的原则,对世界经济秩序造成严重冲击,拖累世界经济复苏。中方坚决采取一系列反制措施,不仅是维护自身发展利益的需要,也是维护世界多边贸易体系和世贸组织规则的正当之举。

  从短期来看,美国加征高额关税会对我国经济和外贸带来一定压力,但是改变不了中国经济持续长期向好的大势。中国经济基础稳、优势多、韧性强、潜力大,我们有底气、有信心、有能力应对外部挑战,实现既定发展目标。具体来讲:

  一是经济有基础,内需有支撑。经过40多年改革开放的积累和发展,中国现在是世界第二大经济体,连续15年稳居第一制造业大国的地位,产业体系完整、配套能力强,经济发展底盘稳、基础牢。同时,中国有14亿多人口,市场规模巨大,现在人均GDP超过1.3万美元,正处在消费升级的关键阶段,市场成长性好,无论是投资还是消费空间都非常大,将支撑中国经济持续发展。

  二是市场多元化,出口有韧性。依托于产业配套体系,我国产品具有较强的国际竞争力,在国际上口碑也非常好。近几年,我国积极开拓国际市场,构建贸易多元化格局,成效也非常明显。目前,我们已与世界上150多个国家和地区成为贸易伙伴。另外,我们积极推进与共建“一带一路”国家贸易。今年一季度,对共建“一带一路”国家的出口同比增长7.2%,货物进出口额占全部进出口额比重超过50%,多元化市场格局正在形成,这也意味着我们对某一个国家单一出口市场的依存度在下降。比如,在2018年,我国对美国的出口额占出口总额的比重是19.2%,去年已经下降到14.7%。所以,我国外贸的韧性比较强。刚刚发布的一季度外贸数据也可以看出来,虽然外部限制增多,但是出口还是增长了6.9%。

  三是转型有成效,新动能增强。党的十八大以来,中国经济一直在持续推动转型升级和高质量发展,原来依靠投资和出口带动的发展模式发生了根本改变,依靠内需和创新驱动共同推动经济增长的新格局正在形成。过去五年,三大需求中内需对经济增长的平均贡献率超过80%。去年,“三新”经济增加值占GDP比重达到18%左右。现在是数字经济时代,去年我国数字经济核心产业增加值占GDP的比重已经达到10%左右,新动能不断成长,有利于增强中国经济的协调性和稳定性。

  四是应对有经验,政策有保障。改革开放以来,中国经济经过了大风大浪的考验,比如经受了亚洲和国际金融危机、中美贸易摩擦,还有前几年新冠疫情的严重冲击,但是我们都走过来了,并且积累了丰富的宏观调控经验。针对当前的外部变化,中央经济工作会议已经进行了充分的预判,宏观政策更加积极有为,及时推出更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策。从一季度来看,政策效应持续显现,对推动国民经济实现良好开局发挥了重要作用。我们将会根据外部形势的变化及时推出增量政策,丰富的政策工具箱是应对外部的冲击和挑战的保障。

  五是制度有优势,人民有信心。有习近平总书记掌舵领航,有党中央坚强领导,有集中力量办大事的制度优势,我们在面对外部重大挑战时可以高效调动各种资源进行合理应对。另外,我们的企业家敢闯敢拼,中国人民智慧勤劳,这都是我们应对巨大风险挑战的基础和底气。

  “基于以上这些判断,我们对中国经济后期的走势以及发展的前景充满信心。”盛来运说。 网王 吹雪:学习如何在牌桌上逆袭对手,成为赢家!的相关文章 特朗普用收税威胁哈佛道歉的相关文章
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